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ASML poised for record year as global chip demand surges

Today, ASML published its 2024 full-year results. It expects its total net sales for 2025 to be between €30 billion and €35 billion.

Published on January 29, 2025

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As editor-in-chief, Aafke oversees all content and events but loves writing herself. She makes complex topics accessible and tells the stories behind technology.

ASML has weathered a challenging 2024 yet emerged triumphant with record metrics in its final quarter, raking in an impressive €9.3 billion. The company announced its quarterly and yearly figures early this morning. Meanwhile, innovations like China’s AI chatbot, DeepSeek, are reshaping expectations on computational needs, adding another layer of intrigue. New CEO Christophe Fouquet is under the spotlight, especially in navigating the firm through geopolitical strains that have long shadowed its operations. With its exceptional role in the chip ecosystem, ASML remains on the brink of reshaping tech's future.

Record-Breaking Fourth Quarter Performance

ASML closed 2024 with total net sales of €28.3 billion, highlighted by an exceptional fourth quarter performance of €9.3 billion - surpassing their previous record by €1.8 billion. The surge in orders, reaching €7 billion in Q4 2024, marks the highest quarterly order intake in a year. Despite earlier market challenges, this robust performance demonstrates ASML's resilience in the semiconductor equipment sector. The company's optimistic outlook for 2025 projects is that total net sales will be between €30 billion and €35 billion, indicating a potential growth rate of 23.675% in the upper range.

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Industry dynamics and market position

The chip sector faces notable challenges, with major players Intel and Samsung encountering operational difficulties. The landscape is further complicated by recent developments in AI technology, particularly the emergence of DeepSeek. This Chinese AI chatbot achieves ChatGPT-level performance with significantly reduced computational requirements, potentially impacting future chip demand patterns.

Future growth and strategic focus

ASML's strategic vision extends beyond immediate performance metrics. The company focuses strongly on 2030 growth prospects, with artificial intelligence identified as a primary driver for industry expansion. ASML is committed to returning capital to shareholders through growing dividends and share buybacks to support this trajectory. The company's financial health is reflected in its substantial net income of €7.6 billion for 2024, which will provide a strong foundation for future investments and technological advancement. This balanced growth and shareholder value approach demonstrates ASML's long-term strategic planning in an increasingly complex market environment.

Leadership transition and geopolitical navigation

Under new CEO Christophe Fouquet's leadership since April 2024, ASML faces the challenge of maintaining its technological edge while navigating intricate geopolitical dynamics. The transition marks a potential shift in approach from former CEO Peter Wennink's notably vocal stance on Dutch political matters. The company acknowledges risk factors that could impact future performance, including geopolitical developments, inflation, interest rates, and pandemic-related disruptions. This complex operating environment requires careful management of customer relationships, supply chain logistics, and technological innovation while adhering to evolving international trade regulations.

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