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ASML points out uncertainty trade tariffs after disappointing Q1

ASML reports €7.7 billion total net sales and €2.4 billion net income in the first quarter of this year.

Published on April 16, 2025

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As editor-in-chief, Aafke oversees all content and events but loves writing herself. She makes complex topics accessible and tells the stories behind technology.

ASML entered the first quarter with revenues of €7.7 billion and a net profit of €2.4 billion. This is slightly lower than expected, but ceo Christophe Fouquet said the outlook remains strong, although uncertainty around trade tariffs could cause friction. ASML reported revenue of €7.7 billion and net profit of €2.4 billion, only slightly lower than expected. Tariffs and macroeconomic factors can affect demand, and the industry waits tensely for possible new trade measures.

Stronger than expected: performance and outlook

ASML reported first-quarter net sales of €7.7 billion, which were within expectations despite missed booking targets. This performance demonstrates ASML's resilience in a dynamic market, supported by its advanced technologies and broad customer base. Although the company is experiencing challenges, such as tariff-related uncertainties, it remains optimistic about future growth prospects, with Christophe Fouquet reporting positive signs from customer calls. The semiconductor industry remains focused on leveraging the surging demand for chip technology driven by AI and digital transformation.

Trade policy challenges and impact on the semiconductor sector

Uncertainty within trade policy, particularly the tariff barriers announced by the U.S., could substantially impact ASML and the broader semiconductor sector. The recent U.S. trade measures surprised many analysts and companies in the industry, as they could disrupt global supply chains. Christophe Fouquet warned of impacts that could affect customer demand and supply availability, potentially triggering a shift in the market landscape.

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Analysis of prospects

Analysts stress that although ASML is currently showing strong market performance, the long-term impact of policy changes remains uncertain. R&D spending of €1.2 billion in Q1 2025 shows ASML's continued investment in technology development to maintain market leadership. Innovations are essential for the company, especially given projected growth in 2025 and 2026. However, strategic adjustments may be necessary as rate pressure increases, adding uncertainty to planned investments and spending.

ASML has taken proactive steps to maneuver uncertainties by declaring its intention to return significant capital to shareholders. This is done through dividends and a €2.7 billion share buyback program. This strategy suggests that ASML is working to preserve shareholder value while navigating through challenging external conditions. Confidence in the market position and the strength of their product portfolio are strong indicators that the company is well-positioned for future challenges.

Prospects in consideration

Looking ahead, ASML has projected total net sales for 2025 to be between €30 billion and €35 billion, despite potentially disruptive tariffs. This highlights the company's confidence in the demand for its technologies, driven by the ever-increasing complexity of semiconductor manufacturing.

As the dominant player in the advanced lithography equipment market, ASML is well positioned to benefit from long-term trends in the semiconductor sector. Their strong position within the supply chain reinforces their role as an essential supplier in a world increasingly dependent on cutting-edge chip technology. Despite short-term challenges, ASML remains committed to R&D and strengthening its product portfolio to meet future industry demands and withstand potential market pressures.

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Growth opportunities in an uncertain market

ASML's potential for future growth is significant, especially given its leadership in EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) technology, which is essential for producing next-generation chips. EUV accounted for €1.2 billion of net bookings in Q1 2025, reinforcing ASML's positioning at the forefront of semiconductor fulfillment. Insights into the growth of AI applications highlight the increasing need for advanced semiconductor solutions, an area in which ASML continues to invest and innovate.

CEO Christophe Fouquet took a balanced approach to communicating market risks, emphasizing the importance of strategic partnerships and product differentiation. Faced with economic pressures and tariff uncertainties, ASML emphasized that thits unified focus on innovations and adjustments to its business model allows itir unified focus on innovations and adjustments to their business model allows them to address these disruptions. The goal remains maintaining competitive advantages as the market faces more complex geopolitical and economic factors.

ASML has repeatedly emphasized its commitment to maximizing shareholder value through strategic decision-making. With projected growth in 2025 and 2026, based on strong product dynamics and market demand, the company is steering into the future with strategic optimism. The recent increase in investor meetings and focus on financiers.