{"id":406284,"date":"2022-09-16T09:54:26","date_gmt":"2022-09-16T07:54:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/innovationorigins.com\/?post_type=selected&amp;p=406284"},"modified":"2022-09-16T09:54:26","modified_gmt":"2022-09-16T07:54:26","slug":"decarbonizing-the-energy-system-by-2050-could-save-trillions","status":"publish","type":"selected","link":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/en\/selected\/decarbonizing-the-energy-system-by-2050-could-save-trillions\/","title":{"rendered":"Decarbonizing the energy system by 2050 could save trillions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<details class=\"io-block io-block__expanded-box\"><summary class=\"expanded-box__header\">Why we write about this topic:<\/summary><div>  <p class=\"expanded-box__content\">Fossil energy prices are going through the roof and renewable energy could represent &#8211; besides being cleaner &#8211; a cheaper option too. <\/p><\/div><\/details>\n\n\n\n<p>Transitioning to a decarbonized energy system by around 2050 is expected to save the world at least $12 trillion &#8211; \u20ac12 trillion &#8211; compared to continuing our current levels of fossil fuel use, according to a peer-reviewed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cell.com\/joule\/fulltext\/S2542-4351(22)00410-X\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">study<\/a> by Oxford University researchers, published in the journal\u00a0<em>Joule<\/em>, writes the British university in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ox.ac.uk\/news\/2022-09-14-decarbonising-energy-system-2050-could-save-trillions-oxford-study\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">press release<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The research shows a win-win-win scenario, in which rapidly transitioning to clean energy results in lower energy system costs than a fossil fuel system, while providing more energy to the global economy, and expanding energy access to more people internationally.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The study\u2019s \u2018Fast Transition\u2019 scenario, shows a realistic possible future for a fossil-free energy system by around 2050, providing 55 percent more energy services globally than today, by ramping up solar, wind, batteries, electric vehicles, and clean fuels such as green hydrogen (made from renewable electricity).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dropping costs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Lead author&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/u7061146.ct.sendgrid.net\/ls\/click?upn=4tNED-2FM8iDZJQyQ53jATUe-2BF12TgWkZ0446ICPSzBSK521KmONBEwqBmJcdn2S2CNtdZDFdy3gK1Oe7K4qXqfw-3D-3D0Xk2_ugeEjzy02AT2bA8eTA2ho0lgCumv7h3OtKwJJnagAKDkunWnTy0sJbve9d-2B1nWfe-2B878Yz9LTmvrSOE70IJfm-2BUU2fcy3RYDNZ7DQULpkX0w03aVZz9EGNLqu1VMp-2FuzKS47U-2ByUjOHJwmKlH2SEM5sP85biWDo633S-2B8QqVYVAcz3OQftHuOH78-2BdvulfiHZJEJ72FEknsRmv2QnTZrFNC9PiDURW1lpFOyA9ZjF8cJskE8K7XZxYyDaL4oi5IoTqnUyoq-2BdC5CPF1go2OYBziHFsYXHrmD92rCCLq8CaIKJCPlj6gD1hLryYZrp6i4wWzULv6DJuKp4bpc5vLfxPnElIJX6YYQ-2FUMblSDSZn4-3D\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dr Rupert Way<\/a>, postdoctoral researcher at the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/u7061146.ct.sendgrid.net\/ls\/click?upn=4tNED-2FM8iDZJQyQ53jATUVgMtQqkfXjXw5mKnsfgJxXVnd9YS8aBphwoWzZnZCNdnBVi_ugeEjzy02AT2bA8eTA2ho0lgCumv7h3OtKwJJnagAKDkunWnTy0sJbve9d-2B1nWfe-2B878Yz9LTmvrSOE70IJfm-2BUU2fcy3RYDNZ7DQULpkX0w03aVZz9EGNLqu1VMp-2FuzKS47U-2ByUjOHJwmKlH2SEM5sP85biWDo633S-2B8QqVYVAcz3OQftHuOH78-2BdvulfiHZJEJ72FEknsRmv2QnTZrFOETxf4J70uwUDueWdzJ1-2FPkHnCVTSh4kzQsmQwyrkYxhU6kVf-2BtbN7I72U5jfDEYmYKPcdg6Z8bIKyZnV9yStak3eTxhVb-2Bv39NroF7OPKFldHokgSNgQw3F7JEs5pnES-2B-2Bbdka4o-2BIGmBhLyQ8d8w-3D\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment<\/a>, says, &#8220;Past models predicting high costs for transitioning to zero carbon energy have deterred companies from investing, and made governments nervous about setting policies that will accelerate the energy transition and cut reliance on fossil fuels. But clean energy costs have fallen sharply over the last decade, much faster than those models expected.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The researchers analysed thousands of transition cost scenarios produced by major energy models, and used data on 45 years of solar energy costs, 37 years of wind energy costs and 25 years for battery storage. They found the real cost of solar energy dropped twice as fast as the most ambitious projections in these models, revealing that&nbsp;over the last 20 years&nbsp;previous models badly overestimated the future costs of key clean energy technologies versus reality.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"vlp-link-container vlp-layout-basic wp-block-visual-link-preview-link advgb-dyn-bf4ec4bb\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/en\/researchers-agree-the-world-can-reach-a-100-renewable-energy-system-by-or-before-2050\/\" class=\"vlp-link\" title=\"Researchers agree: the world can reach a 100% renewable energy system by or before 2050\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><div class=\"vlp-layout-zone-side\"><div class=\"vlp-block-2 vlp-link-image\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vlp-layout-zone-main\"><div class=\"vlp-block-0 vlp-link-title\">Researchers agree: the world can reach a 100% renewable energy system by or before 2050<\/div><div class=\"vlp-block-1 vlp-link-summary\">An energy system that is 100% based on renewables has emerged to become the scientific mainstream. Hundreds of scientific studies have proven that 100% renewable  achieved on global, regional, and national levels by or before 2050.<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Saving trillions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;There is a pervasive misconception that switching to clean, green energy will be painful, costly, and mean sacrifices for us all \u2013 but that\u2019s just wrong,&#8221; says&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/u7061146.ct.sendgrid.net\/ls\/click?upn=4tNED-2FM8iDZJQyQ53jATUe-2BF12TgWkZ0446ICPSzBSK521KmONBEwqBmJcdn2S2Cc2c5olGT3nTT4keW-2B92uaA-3D-3DijKo_ugeEjzy02AT2bA8eTA2ho0lgCumv7h3OtKwJJnagAKDkunWnTy0sJbve9d-2B1nWfe-2B878Yz9LTmvrSOE70IJfm-2BUU2fcy3RYDNZ7DQULpkX0w03aVZz9EGNLqu1VMp-2FuzKS47U-2ByUjOHJwmKlH2SEM5sP85biWDo633S-2B8QqVYVAcz3OQftHuOH78-2BdvulfiHZJEJ72FEknsRmv2QnTZrFFVP7SPyuET6F7Jy2aE6ubPSdTYSw-2BWwYxVj247CAaDySZpPHFJGlxFGmXbaTMADMnilJ6YqPaf0xO4hrSVUVhHCfhcuE4xM8s7krMjX-2BNfaj87k43Qc-2B8j3JyJgl4EpTejLS2xR-2BHMTSmYwpzPF2VU-3D\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Professor Doyne Farmer<\/a>, who leads the team that conducted the study at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/u7061146.ct.sendgrid.net\/ls\/click?upn=4tNED-2FM8iDZJQyQ53jATUfsM4A9qt64tzHjvilKzX-2FpK6-2F4rp6ojgo4V9MAwr-2FdfnW16_ugeEjzy02AT2bA8eTA2ho0lgCumv7h3OtKwJJnagAKDkunWnTy0sJbve9d-2B1nWfe-2B878Yz9LTmvrSOE70IJfm-2BUU2fcy3RYDNZ7DQULpkX0w03aVZz9EGNLqu1VMp-2FuzKS47U-2ByUjOHJwmKlH2SEM5sP85biWDo633S-2B8QqVYVAcz3OQftHuOH78-2BdvulfiHZJEJ72FEknsRmv2QnTZrFDqtnBJAPofkkdVWoANSuuvzrKQ74ezoPymm8mMbU4BHD3v7emzayaV6XSX7HQhbf6PB8LLD5lL5nphWzAvpvr-2B9L-2FyKdyhNycoZUCeeAwuxwHZ4lerutIPfjDI0-2FH6de2ELE1y6fFYHkP0GtFxT4dY-3D\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/a>&#8220;Renewable costs have been trending down for decades. They are already cheaper than fossil fuels in many situations, and our research shows they will become cheaper than fossil fuels across almost all applications in the years to come. And, if we accelerate the transition, they will become cheaper faster. Completely replacing fossil fuels with clean energy by 2050 will save us trillions.&#8221;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The study shows the costs for crucial storage technologies, such as batteries and hydrogen electrolysis, are also likely to fall dramatically. Meanwhile, the prices of nuclear have consistently increased over the last five decades, making it highly unlikely to be cost-competitive with plunging renewable and storage costs.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Accelerating transition<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Since Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine, the costs of fossil energy have skyrocketed, causing inflation around the world. This study, conducted before the current crisis, takes account of such fluctuations using more than a century\u2019s worth of fossil fuel price data. The current energy crisis underscores the study\u2019s findings and demonstrates the risks of continuing to rely on expensive, insecure, fossil fuels. The research confirms that the response to the crisis should include accelerating the transition to low-cost, clean energy as soon as possible, as this will bring benefits both for the economy and the planet.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2084,"featured_media":508869,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[128565,44434,23429,128567,128569,128571],"location":[55977],"internal_archives":[],"class_list":["post-406284","selected","type-selected","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sustainability-nl","tag-energy-system-2","tag-oxford-university","tag-renewable-energy","tag-solar-energy-5","tag-storage-system","tag-wind-energy-5","location-united-kingdom"],"blocksy_meta":[],"acf":[],"featured_img":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Renewable-energy.jpg","coauthors":[],"author_meta":{"author_link":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/author\/mauro-mereu\/","display_name":"Mauro Mereu"},"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 4 years ago","modified":"Updated 4 years ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on September 16, 2022","modified":"Updated on September 16, 2022"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on September 16, 2022 9:54 am","modified":"Updated on September 16, 2022 9:54 am"},"featured_img_caption":"","tax_additional":{"category":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/en\/category\/sustainability-nl\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Sustainability<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Sustainability<\/span>"],"slug":"category","name":"Categories"},"post_tag":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/en\/tag\/energy-system-2\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">energy system<\/a>","<a href=\"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/en\/tag\/oxford-university\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Oxford University<\/a>","<a href=\"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/en\/tag\/renewable-energy\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Renewable energy<\/a>","<a href=\"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/en\/tag\/solar-energy-5\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">solar energy<\/a>","<a href=\"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/en\/tag\/storage-system\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">storage system<\/a>","<a href=\"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/en\/tag\/wind-energy-5\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">wind energy<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">energy system<\/span>","<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Oxford University<\/span>","<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Renewable energy<\/span>","<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">solar energy<\/span>","<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">storage system<\/span>","<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">wind energy<\/span>"],"slug":"post_tag","name":"Tags"},"language":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/en\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">EN<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">EN<\/span>"],"slug":"language","name":"Tags"},"post_translations":{"linked":[],"unlinked":[],"slug":"post_translations","name":""},"location":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/location\/united-kingdom\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">United Kingdom<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">United Kingdom<\/span>"],"slug":"location","name":"Locations"},"internal_archives":{"linked":[],"unlinked":[],"slug":"internal_archives","name":"Internal Archives"}},"series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/selected\/406284","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/selected"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/selected"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2084"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/508869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=406284"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=406284"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=406284"},{"taxonomy":"location","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/location?post=406284"},{"taxonomy":"internal_archives","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ioplus.nl\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/internal_archives?post=406284"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}